Probability
Section outline
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Random variables, expected value, variance and covariance, linear correlation. Law of a random variable. Examples. Cumulative distribution function.
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Examples of cdf. Absolutely continuous random variables, density function. Examples. Standard random variables: exponentials, gaussian, Gamma, Cauchy, log-normal. Change of density.
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Exercises on random variables, cdfs, densities. Multivariate random variable, mean and covariance matrix.
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Multivariate random variables: law, cdf, absolutely continuous r.v. and densities. Multivariate Gaussian.
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Exercises on multivariate distributions. Mapping multivariate random variables, exercise.
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Exercises on multivariate random variables. Fourier Transform of a Borel measure. FT of a multivariate Gaussian distribution.
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Characteristic function of a random variable, examples and main properties. Uniqueness theorem. Exercises.
(no video sorry)
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Independent events and random variables. Characterization of independence through joint cdf and densities. Exercise.
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Exercises on independence. Kac theorem on characteristic function of independent random variables.
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Conditional expectation: case of \( L^2 \) random variables through orthogonal projection, extension to \( L^1 \) random variables, main properties.
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Conditional expectation on finitely generated \(\sigma-\)algebras. Jensen's inequality for conditional expectation. Conditional density and formula for \(\Bbb E[X\mid Y]\).
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Convergence in \(p\) mean (\(L^p\) convergence. Convergence with probability 1. Borel-Cantelli's Lemmas. Example.
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Exercises on \(L^p\) and \(\Bbb P=1\) limits. Convergence in probability, relations with \(L^p\) and a.s. convergence. Example.
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Convergence in distribution. Exercises on convergence of random variables.
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Exercises on convergence of sequences of random variables.
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Weak law of large numbers: Chebishev bound, applications to monte-Carlo method and Bernstein-Weierstrass polynomial approximation.
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Exercises on WLLN. Strong law: \(L^4\) SLLN, \(L^1\) SLLN.
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Exercise CLT. Definition of Brownian motion. The Levy-Ciesielskii construction.
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SCHEDULES
ANALYTICAL METHODS
- Nov. 20, 2025, 9am, Room RL Vallisneri Building
- Feb. 10, 2026, 9am, Room H7, HUB
- Jun. 29, 2026, 9am, Room H1, HUB
- Sept. 7, 2026, 9am, Room H1, HUB
PROBABILISTIC METHODS
- Jan. 19, 2026, 9am, Room H12, HUB
- Feb. 18, 2026, 9am, Room H12, HUB
- Jul. 2, 2026, 9am, Room RL, Vallisneri
- Sept. 10, 2026, 9am, Room RL Vallisneri
VALIDATION LIST (to validate your exam, if eligible)
- Jan 23, 2026
- Feb 20, 2026
- Jul. 4, 2026
- Sept. 14, 2026
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Submissions opened: Monday, 15 December 2025, 10:00 PMSubmissions closed: Saturday, 20 December 2025, 8:00 PMAssessments opened: Saturday, 20 December 2025, 8:01 PMAssessments closed: Monday, 22 December 2025, 8:00 PM
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Submissions opened: Tuesday, 23 December 2025, 8:58 AMSubmissions closed: Sunday, 28 December 2025, 11:59 PMAssessments opened: Monday, 29 December 2025, 12:00 AMAssessments closed: Tuesday, 30 December 2025, 11:59 PM
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Submissions opened: Wednesday, 31 December 2025, 12:00 AMSubmissions closed: Monday, 5 January 2026, 11:59 PMAssessments opened: Tuesday, 6 January 2026, 12:00 AMAssessments closed: Thursday, 8 January 2026, 11:59 PM
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Submissions opened: Wednesday, 14 January 2026, 12:00 AMSubmissions closed: Tuesday, 20 January 2026, 11:59 PMAssessments opened: Wednesday, 21 January 2026, 12:00 AMAssessments closed: Thursday, 22 January 2026, 11:59 PM
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